GreyRhino newsletter Edition October 2025
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Prime Story
Argentina’s Economic Spiral: Milei’s Missteps Deepen Crisis
Montevideo, Uruguay, Oct. 2nd, 2025
Argentina’s economy is teetering on the brink once again, and President Javier Milei’s leadership—or lack thereof—is steering the nation into perilous waters. The Argentine peso, a symbol of the country’s persistent financial turmoil, plummeted over 6% on Tuesday, marking its steepest intraday drop since September 8. This catastrophic slide forced Milei’s administration to scramble, dumping undisclosed amounts of dollars into the spot market to prop up the flailing currency, which still closed 1.4% weaker at 1,380.0 pesos per dollar. The silence from the Central Bank and Economy Ministry only amplifies the sense of chaos and secrecy surrounding this intervention.
Just days ago, a fleeting glimmer of hope emerged when U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a $20-billion financial lifeline, temporarily boosting the peso by over 10%. A short-lived export tax break also flooded Argentina with $7 billion in quick cash. Yet, these measures have proven to be little more than Band-Aids on a gaping wound.
The peso’s renewed collapse exposes the fragility of Milei’s economic strategy, which seems to lurch from one desperate patch to another without addressing the root causes of Argentina’s malaise.
Economist Santiago Resico of one618 aptly noted that the government’s need to sell dollars on a day of strong supply signals a grim outlook, as markets interpret this as a sign of deeper structural failures.
Milei’s brief moment of reprieve last week, when his administration hoarded dollars to bolster reserves, has evaporated. The growing demand for U.S. dollars, fueled by fears over Milei’s dwindling political capital ahead of the October 26 midterm elections, is crushing confidence. A crushing defeat in the Buenos Aires Province local vote earlier this month has left investors jittery, and the widening gap between official and parallel exchange rates—the largest since April—underscores the government’s faltering grip on the economy. Reinstated capital controls, which Milei had proudly lifted in April, now feel like a grudging admission of defeat.
Adding to the gloom, details of the much-touted U.S. financial rescue remain frustratingly vague, leaving markets skeptical and assets reeling. Argentine dollar bonds due in 2035 shed over 1.8 cents on Tuesday, trading at a dismal 53 cents, marking their longest losing streak in two months. Even Milei’s upcoming October 14 White House meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump, framed as a “strategic alliance,” feels like a hollow publicity stunt rather than a substantive solution. While Milei boasts of “unprecedented” U.S. support, the lack of clarity on the $20-billion swap line and potential debt purchases only deepens mistrust.
Compounding the mess, Milei’s economic maneuvers have sparked international friction. His decision to suspend export taxes on grains led to $7 billion in soy sales to China, undercutting U.S. farmers and drawing ire from some of Trump’s allies. A leaked message, reportedly from U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins, labeled the deal “unfortunate,” highlighting tensions that could jeopardize Argentina’s lifeline. This misstep, alongside Milei’s insistence on maintaining a currency swap with China while negotiating with Washington, paints a picture of a leader juggling contradictory priorities with little regard for long-term consequences.
As Argentina faces $4 billion in debt repayments in January and $4.5 billion in July 2026, the nation’s history as a serial debt defaulter looms large.
Milei’s “chainsaw-style” austerity, once heralded as a bold fix for decades of fiscal recklessness, now appears woefully inadequate against a cashflow crunch and mounting political risks. Analysts like Alejandro Cuadrado of BBVA warn that the peso’s upward trend will persist, with post-election scrutiny likely to expose the temporary nature of Milei’s patchwork policies.
In this climate of uncertainty, Milei’s promises of Cabinet shuffles and secured financing through next year ring hollow. Argentina’s economic future hangs by a thread, and Milei’s erratic leadership only tightens the noose. As the midterm elections approach, the nation braces for more turbulence, with little faith in a government that seems to prioritize spectacle over solutions.—TangoTech
Meet “TangoTech”, team member of the dynamic duo behind the innovative crypto currency project for Argentina: CryptoARGVault.
"TangoTech" is a visionary young entrepreneur from Cordoba, Argentina. Her career in finance and economics laid the foundation for her deep understanding of the unique challenges faced by the Argentine economy. TangoTech believes in the potential of blockchain to reshape financial landscapes and empower individuals. Her interest in crypto stems from a desire to create inclusive financial solutions that can transcend geographical boundaries and traditional financial barriers. TangoTech is passionate about community engagement and user experience design. She thrives on building bridges between technology and real-world applications. In her free time, TangoTech is an enthusiastic sustainable whine growing professional and loves exploring Argentina's rich cultural heritage.
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The LatAm Story
Unlocking the Power of Generative AI: A Game-Changer for Brazilian and Mexican Businesses
Get ready to be energized by the transformative potential of generative AI!
A landmark study by Google Cloud, released on September 4, 2025, and conducted by the National Research Group, surveyed 3,466 senior business leaders across 24 countries, including a robust 701 from Latin America. The findings are nothing short of inspiring:
Brazilian and Mexican companies are leveraging generative AI to unlock unprecedented growth and efficiency, and the results are a wake-up call for businesses everywhere.
Let’s dive into the insights that could spark a revolution in your organization!
A Catalyst for Productivity and Profitability
The data is crystal clear: 79% of companies using generative AI for administrative tasks—such as planning, contextualization, and execution—are already seeing a positive return on investment (ROI). This isn’t just about automating the mundane; it’s about unleashing creativity and precision that directly boost the bottom line. From streamlining workflows to generating actionable insights, generative AI is proving to be a powerhouse for success.
The study reveals that businesses in Brazil and Mexico are experiencing 6-10% annual revenue growth directly tied to generative AI. Picture this: a technology that not only optimizes operations but also fuels significant financial gains. This is the kind of innovation that transforms good companies into industry leaders!
Why Brazil and Mexico Are Leading the Way
Brazilian and Mexican firms are embracing generative AI with enthusiasm, using it to stay ahead in dynamic, competitive markets. Whether it’s crafting smarter business strategies, personalizing customer experiences, or accelerating decision-making, these organizations are thinking outside the box and delivering results. The study highlights that companies with annual revenues of USD 10 million or more are particularly well-positioned to harness this technology, making generative AI accessible across industries and company sizes.
A special shout-out to the early adopters of agentic AI—autonomous AI systems that anticipate and act. The study notes that 13% of respondents dedicating over 50% of their AI budgets to these advanced tools are achieving an 88% positive ROI, setting a new benchmark for innovation.
What This Means for Your Business
The success of generative AI in Brazil and Mexico is a powerful signal for organizations worldwide. If you’re ready to boost efficiency, enhance decision-making, or drive revenue growth, now is the time to act. Here’s a proactive blueprint to get started, inspired by the study’s insights:
Audit & Prioritize: Identify administrative tasks (e.g., planning reports or task execution) that could benefit from automation or enhanced insights. Impact: 74% of organizations see ROI in Year 1.
Pilot with Agentic AI: Test autonomous AI tools, like those offered by Google Cloud’s Vertex AI, in a single department to measure impact. Impact: 52% of generative AI users have agents in production, driving 6-10% revenue growth.
Scale Securely: Integrate governance for privacy and security while reallocating budgets to AI initiatives. Impact: 77% of firms are increasing generative AI investments as costs drop.
Measure & Iterate: Track metrics like time-to-market and lead generation to ensure quick wins before scaling up. Impact: Google Cloud users report an average 3-year ROI of 727%.
Thinking Outside the Box
Why stop at the basics? In Brazil’s vibrant fintech scene or Mexico’s thriving manufacturing sector, imagine generative AI agents that not only crunch numbers but also incorporate cultural nuances—like multilingual contextualization for diverse teams. This regional flair could give your business an even sharper competitive edge.
A Bright Future Awaits
The rise of generative AI is more than a trend—it’s a revolution reshaping how businesses operate and grow. Brazilian and Mexican companies are proving that this technology delivers tangible results, paving the way for a future where innovation knows no limits. So, what’s holding you back? Dive into the world of generative AI, and let’s make growth happen!
Ready to steer your organization toward sustainable success? The future is calling—answer it with AI!
For the full dive, head straight to the source: Download the report at Google Cloud's ROI of AI 2025 page. Or catch the press release here. It's not just a read—it's your roadmap to turning AI from buzzword to balance-sheet booster.
What do you say? Ready to chat about tailoring this to your operations, or shall we brainstorm a custom pilot? We are all ears—let's make your ROI story the next headline.
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From the Newsroom of Industry
Strada Revolutionizes Brazilian Agribusiness Logistics with Innovation and Scale
Welcome to the future of agricultural logistics in Brazil! Strada, a powerhouse born in 2022 from the merger of Carguero (a joint venture of agribusiness giants Amaggi, Louis Dreyfus, ADM, and Cargill) and Tip Bank, is redefining road transport and financial services for the agro-industrial sector. Since launching operations in March 2023, Strada has skyrocketed to success, processing a jaw-dropping R$10 billion in transactions in its first year—more than doubling the volume of its founding companies. Buckle up, because Strada’s journey is just getting started, and it’s transforming Brazil’s agribusiness logistics with cutting-edge technology and unstoppable ambition!
A Game-Changing Digital Ecosystem
Imagine a logistics platform so seamless it unites shippers, carriers, and drivers in one dynamic digital hub. That’s Strada’s magic! By eliminating inefficiencies like duplicate loads and offering real-time cargo tracking, Strada tackles Brazil’s long-standing freight transparency challenges head-on. But it doesn’t stop there. The platform empowers its users with innovative financial tools, including advance payment of receivables and access to a network of over 1,000 accredited service stations nationwide. This means drivers and transport companies aren’t just moving goods—they’re moving forward with financial security and operational ease.
Currently, 70% of Strada’s transactions come from its partner trading companies, but the company has big plans to diversify. By expanding to external clients, Strada aims to reduce this share to just 30%, opening its game-changing platform to a broader market.
Bold Innovations on the Horizon
Strada isn’t resting on its laurels. In 2024 and beyond, the company is rolling out exciting new features to keep Brazil’s agribusiness logistics ahead of the curve. Get ready for reverse freight auctions, where shippers can score competitive bids from carriers, and enhanced data intelligence tools to optimize route planning and boost efficiency. These innovations are set to supercharge Strada’s market share and transaction volumes, making logistics smarter, faster, and more cost-effective.
Even with a slight growth slowdown in 2024, Strada is projecting a 40% increase in transacted freight volume for 2025, targeting an impressive R$14 billion. This growth is fueled by a larger crop forecast, rising freight rates, and a slate of new product launches. And the vision doesn’t stop at Brazil’s borders—Strada is eyeing international expansion, ready to replicate its winning model on the global stage.
Strada by the Numbers
Founded: 2022; operations kicked off in March 2023
Partners: Amaggi, ADM, Cargill, Louis Dreyfus, and Datablog
Team: ~300 employees driving innovation
Impact: 40 million tons transported annually, 1.6 million truck trips per year (~5,000 trucks daily)
Services: Freight management, fintech solutions, fleet management, cargo tracking, payment services, risk management, and a nationwide network of partner stations
Strada’s collaborative model unites agribusiness titans to tackle logistical bottlenecks with digital technology and shared intelligence. This approach isn’t just streamlining Brazil’s bulk road logistics—it’s positioning the country as a global benchmark for smart agricultural logistics.
Why Strada Matters
Strada is more than a logistics platform; it’s a revolution in how Brazil’s agribusiness supply chain operates. By integrating logistics and financial services into a single, transparent, and efficient ecosystem, Strada empowers everyone involved—from producers to drivers—with tools to succeed. As it scales, innovates, and expands, Strada is paving the way for a modernized, globally competitive agribusiness sector.
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Short Cuts from Industries
motorcycle industry/Brazil
Bajaj do Brasil Accelerates Growth with Major Factory Expansion in Manaus
Dear Motorcycle Enthusiasts and Industry Insiders,
Bajaj do Brasil, the dynamic Brazilian subsidiary of the Indian powerhouse Bajaj Auto, is hitting the throttle on its growth journey! We’re thrilled to share exciting news that’s set to reshape the two-wheeler landscape in Brazil and beyond. Bajaj do Brasil has announced a bold plan to significantly expand the production capacity of its cutting-edge factory in the Manaus Free Trade Zone, a strategic move that promises to fuel the surging demand for its motorcycles across Brazil.
Doubling Down on Production
In response to the skyrocketing popularity of Bajaj’s diverse and innovative motorcycle lineup, the company is doubling its local production capacity at its Manaus facility. This ambitious expansion is a cornerstone of Bajaj’s global strategy to solidify its presence in one of South America’s most vibrant markets. By scaling up operations, Bajaj do Brasil is poised to deliver even more of its high-performance, stylish, and reliable motorcycles to Brazilian riders, ensuring that enthusiasts can get their hands on their dream rides without delay.
This isn’t just about making more bikes—it’s about empowering riders with greater access to Bajaj’s world-class engineering, from sleek commuters to adrenaline-pumping performance models. Whether you’re navigating the bustling streets of São Paulo or cruising the scenic roads of Rio, Bajaj’s expanded production means more opportunities to experience the thrill of their machines.
A Strategic Hub in Manaus
The Manaus Free Trade Zone, known for its favorable economic incentives, is the perfect home for Bajaj’s expanded operations. This location not only strengthens Bajaj’s ability to serve the Brazilian market efficiently but also positions the company as a key player in the region’s manufacturing ecosystem. By leveraging the advantages of Manaus, Bajaj do Brasil is optimizing its production processes while contributing to local economic growth and job creation.
A Powerhouse Partnership: Bajaj and KTM
Adding fuel to the fire, Bajaj’s recent acquisition of a majority stake in the iconic Austrian motorcycle manufacturer KTM has opened new doors for collaboration. The company is actively exploring ways to integrate Bajaj’s and KTM’s local production facilities in Brazil. This potential synergy could lead to groundbreaking innovations, combining Bajaj’s manufacturing prowess with KTM’s legendary performance-driven designs. Imagine the possibilities: a new era of motorcycles that blend Austrian precision with Indian ingenuity, all crafted right here in Brazil!
Why This Matters
This expansion is more than just a business move—it’s a testament to Bajaj’s commitment to Brazil and its passionate riding community. By doubling production capacity and exploring integration with KTM, Bajaj do Brasil is paving the way for a future where high-quality, accessible motorcycles are within reach for more riders than ever before. This is a win for consumers, the industry, and the Brazilian economy.
What’s Next?
As Bajaj do Brasil revs up its operations, we’re excited to see how this expansion will accelerate the company’s growth and influence in the region. Stay tuned for updates on production milestones, new model launches, and the potential KTM collaboration that could redefine the motorcycle market in Brazil.
corn ethanol biorefinery/Brazil
CB Bioenergia Pioneers Brazil’s First Corn Ethanol Biorefinery in Santiago
We’re thrilled to share groundbreaking news from the heart of Brazil’s southernmost state, Rio Grande do Sul! CB Bioenergia, a family-owned enterprise led by the visionary leadership of Ms. Maria Eduarda Bonotto, daughter of the company’s founder, is set to revolutionize the renewable energy landscape. The company is proudly constructing Brazil’s first biorefinery dedicated to producing ethanol from corn, a landmark achievement in sustainable innovation.
Located in the charming town of Santiago, this state-of-the-art facility represents a bold step forward for both the region and the nation. With an initial investment of approximately USD 22 million, the biorefinery is poised to make a significant impact on the local economy and Brazil’s renewable energy sector. The plant is designed to produce 40,000 liters of ethanol per day, processing an impressive 30,000 tons of corn annually. This ambitious project taps into the robust corn production of Rio Grande do Sul, which yielded 7.8 million tons in the last harvest, while Brazil’s total corn consumption stands at around 12 million tons.
What makes this venture truly exciting is its potential to transform Santiago into a hub of sustainable innovation. By leveraging locally sourced corn, CB Bioenergia is not only creating jobs and boosting the regional economy but also contributing to Brazil’s energy independence and environmental goals. Ethanol, a cleaner-burning fuel, aligns with global efforts to reduce carbon emissions, and this biorefinery is a shining example of how family businesses can lead the charge in addressing climate challenges.
Ms. Maria Eduarda Bonotto’s leadership exemplifies the power of vision and determination. Building on her family’s legacy, she is steering CB Bioenergia toward a future where sustainability and economic growth go hand in hand. The Santiago biorefinery is more than just a facility—it’s a testament to innovation, resilience, and the entrepreneurial spirit of Brazil’s heartland.
Stay tuned for updates on the biorefinery’s progress and its transformative impact on Santiago, Rio Grande do Sul, and beyond. Together, let’s toast to a greener, more sustainable future—cheers to CB Bioenergia and the bold steps they’re taking to make it a reality!
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Ups & Downs
Brazil’s Economic Surge: A Bright Future Ahead!
Brazil is riding a wave of economic success in 2025, with impressive gains across multiple sectors. Here’s a quick dive into the highlights that are shaping a prosperous future for the nation:
Jobs and Wages Reach New Peaks
Great news for Brazilian workers! The unemployment rate has dropped to an impressive 5.6%, the lowest since 2012, signaling robust job creation. Even better, the national wage bill has soared to a decade-high, growing by +6.4% compared to 2024. More jobs and bigger paychecks are fueling optimism for a thriving economy!
Oil & Gas Production Breaks Records
Brazil’s energy sector is booming! In July 2025, oil and gas production surged by 5.28%, surpassing the 5 million barrel per day milestone. This energy wave is powering Brazil’s economic engine and shows no signs of slowing down.
Retail Sector Keeps the Momentum
Brazilian retail is buzzing with activity! Physical store sales jumped 4% in August 2025 compared to last year, with average transaction values soaring 4.7% over August 2024. Shoppers are spending, and retailers are reaping the rewards!
Vehicle Sales Face a Speed Bump
Not every sector is accelerating. Vehicle sales in August 2025 dipped by 6.74% from July, totaling ~214,500 units, and fell 3.7% compared to August 2024. Private car sales also declined by 5.22% month-on-month. Keep an eye on this space for future updates!
Younger CEOs Take the Helm
Brazil’s corporate landscape is getting a youthful makeover. The average age of CEOs at B3-listed companies has dropped from 58 to 56 over the past five years, with 56% of new CEOs in 2023 averaging just 54 years old. A new generation of leaders is steering Brazil’s businesses into the future!
DIY Retail Adjusts Expectations
The DIY sector is taking a cautious approach, revising 2025 growth forecasts to +1.8% from +2.8%. August sales edged up 1% month-on-month but slipped 0.3% year-on-year, reflecting a steady but tempered outlook.
Brazil’s economy is on an exciting trajectory, blending dynamic growth with new leadership and unstoppable energy. Here’s to a future filled with opportunity and success!
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News from iMB.Solutions
OneBizTutor® Launch: A New Era for Secure, Hybrid Business Consulting
The world of strategic consulting is facing a crisis of trust and efficiency. Traditional legacy consulting is too slow and expensive, while many smaller consultants present a hidden AI risk by using general LLMs with sensitive client data. Today marks a new era with the launch of OneBizTutor, a Hybrid Business Intelligence Engine designed to solve these fundamental problems.
OneBizTutor® provides the speed, clarity, and security modern businesses need. Our engine starts with the DataSuperCharger to organize data, followed by our Micro-Small Language Model (M-SLM). The M-SLM, a specialist analyst, performs precise analysis on your proprietary data—a task it handles with greater accuracy and security than a generalist LLM. The clean insights from the M-SLM then fuel the LLM to generate creative, relevant strategic scenarios.
Crucially, our process is guided by a human expert who acts as a Curator and Validator, transforming AI's computational power into an accountable, practical business strategy. This entire process is protected by our Three-Layer Trust Architecture, featuring GDPR/LGPD compliance, a zero AI-training policy, and a secure, decentralized infrastructure to guarantee data sovereignty.
We offer transparent, fixed-fee packages—from Tier 1 for validation to Tier 2 for a full launch kit, and a Tier 3subscription for continuous market intelligence. OneBizTutor® is the new standard for fast, transparent, and secure strategic consulting.
Get Out
Avenida Paulista by Night: A Cyberpunk Photography Adventure
Greetings from the Neon Heart of SĂŁo Paulo!
Welcome, dear readers, to a thrilling exploration of Avenida Paulista after dark! This Brazilian metropolis transforms into one of the world's most authentic cyberpunk cities. Join us on an inspiring journey through its neon-lit streets!
A Cyberpunk Wonderland Awaits
Imagine towering buildings aglow with digital displays, casting a mesmerizing purple hue over the bustling streets. The symphony of traffic and futuristic light creates a sci-fi spectacle. Avenida Paulista is a photographer's paradise, blending modernity with creative potential.
Capture the Night
Seize your camera and dive into this urban adventure! Focus on cyberpunk motifs—neon reflections, LED facades, and shadow-play. Experiment with long-exposure shots of moving vehicles or contrast the illuminated structures against the night sky. This is your chance to create a masterpiece!
Join the Movement
Whether you're a pro or a beginner, Avenida Paulista by night is calling. Share your cyberpunk photos with us and inspire a global community of artists.
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