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Argentina Executive Brief — June 2025 Edition

Argentina’s Vaca Muerta shale basin, once hailed as Latin America’s premier energy investment destination, is facing a strategic retreat. Energy giants like Petronas, ExxonMobil, and Equinor are scaling back or exiting altogether, signaling a turning point in the region’s oil and gas landscape. But this isn’t just an energy story—it’s a macroeconomic one too.

Under President Javier Milei, Argentina is navigating high-stakes economic reforms, exchange rate manipulation, and deep austerity that could either stabilize or destabilize the nation. From BOPREAL bond issuances and current account deficits to China-IMF currency diplomacy and Mercosur trade threats, 2025 has become a defining year for Argentina’s geopolitical and financial future.

This blog breaks down the energy market realignment, inflation trends, currency risks, and the political shockwaves reshaping South America’s second-largest economy. Whether you’re an investor, policy strategist, or Latin America market analyst, understanding these interconnected developments is key to making informed decisions in the region.

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Business Scenario Planning, strategy, Spotting Fake Scenario Planners The iMB.Solutions Team 🇧🇷 Business Scenario Planning, strategy, Spotting Fake Scenario Planners The iMB.Solutions Team 🇧🇷

Spotting Pros vs. Charlatans in Business Scenario Planning

While strategic planning and tactical planning serve different purposes within an organization, they are both essential for achieving long-term success. Strategic planning provides the big-picture vision and direction, setting the stage for where the organization wants to go. Tactical planning, on the other hand, focuses on the short-term, actionable steps needed to get there. Maintaining a clear distinction between strategic and tactical planning is essential for the success of any organization. While both are important, they serve different purposes and must be handled differently. By keeping these two types of planning separate and ensuring that they are aligned, organizations can avoid the pitfalls of confusion, misallocation of resources, and diminished innovation, ultimately positioning themselves for long-term success.

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